Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Beating a dead horse...

I wrote these posts last night just so you had a guide to see what to expect every hour. However, as my previous post states... I just don't see a path for McCain... like... literally. BUT... what I wrote last night still rings true for what to pay attention to when the next set of polls close.

Having said that:

I would start thinking about Florida as being in the Obama column. Indiana as well. I'm optimistic about Missouri as well.

AND, the map earlier didn't allow me to give Obama an extra electoral vote from the Omaha district in Nebraska. So, add that to my prediction. I'm regretting my North Carolina choice.

HERE'S what to look for at 9 PM!

9:00 – Iowa (7), Montana (3), Utah (5), Nevada (5)
Total Electoral Votes to this point: 451

For Sure? Obama wins Iowa.
Also likely, Obama gets Nevada and McCain gets Montana and Utah.

No real surprises here.

SAFE Totals:
Obama: 181
(Vermont, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Illinois, New York, Rhode Island, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Colorado, Nebraska (1 of 5), Iowa, Nevada)
McCain: 118
(Kentucky, South Carolina, Georgia, West Virginia, Alabama, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kansas, Louisiana, Texas, South Dakota, Nebraska (4 of 5), Utah, Montana)

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